Posts Tagged ‘High Risk Misper’

Do the police suspend vulnerable missing persons searches too quickly?

October 24th, 2009

I awoke this morning with the need to write another quick post here – on the suspension of searching. I obviously discussed it slightly yesterday with the idea that we should search areas where outstanding high risk mispers could be; however, my recent revision of missing person behaviour statistics has obviously made me think more about this.

I want to start, however, with a quote that many find surprising.

As a general principle, searching should take place throughout the day and night. This will be determined by the circumstances but in all cases where a full managed search is undertaken, there must be valid reasons why it is not continued throughout the full 24 hours.
ACPO Guidance on the Managment, Recording and Investigation of Missing Persons, 2005

How many ALSAR Units’ local police expect them to continue searching for a full 24 hour period? How many Units are asked to return for a second day?

It seems to me, that often the police attitude is that they “must” do a search and “clear” a few high probability areas to show that they have done something. There seem to exist a large number of those dangerous rationalisations that we teach our on our basic search courses within the police. [That sounds very harsh - there are a number of very, very good police officers who are dedicated and passionate about finding missing persons in the same way that search volunteers are - And I do recognise this!]

But the reality is the police very often run out of the will (and a great deal of this is about the political will to carry on search operations that are very man-power intensive), the man-power and the budget to actually do more than this initial search. A quick look at the ALSAR stats shows how few searches actually result is a find. Many are well outside the area and still mobile, but there remain still a few potentially still alive, lying just outside our search areas. How do I know?

Take a look at Koester’s Lost Person Behavior - Survivability ;

Dementia – just 5% will die within 24 hours, 35% will die over the next 48 hours or so but 60% will still be alive at this point. Even after 96 hours, 46% will still be alive.

Despondents – 25% will kill themselves within 24 hours, but there will still be 19% alive after 72 hours.

Koester writes a very clear warning about using these statistics;

Survivability statistics must not be the major criteria for deciding to suspend a search… It may be appropriate to use survival statistics as the sole reason to prolong a search.
Lost Person Behavior, 2008

And I think my thinking neatly ties in with this last sentence – should we start using these survival statistics to persuade our local police to continue search operations for longer than our present 4-6 hour searches?

Should we start expecting searches to last 2 or 3 operational periods if nothing is found and planning accordingly?

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Search exercise planners handbook – Part Two

October 23rd, 2009

Too often search exercises are run in the same old places. The reasons for this are clear – often close by, easy to park etc. etc. However, by doing this the exercise loses so much. TLs don’t need to navigate, SCs don’t need to think about RVs, Units don’t need to think about annoying residents and no one needs to really think!

So what should you think about when selecting an area? This post is about pre-exercise planning of search areas – next week I’ll write about practical aspects of selecting a search area.

Each ALSAR Unit should have a record of where they have searched in the past in their county. They will have a record of outstanding high risk mispers in their county and will have a list of SAR Pre-plans. Between these three, each Unit should have a list of training locations that would last at least a year or two of exercising every month!

Looking back over your Unit’s search data search exercise planners will start to get a feel for where they are called out to in their county. There are regular locations in every place – hospitals where despondent and those suffering from mental health issues go missing regularly, beauty spots which despondents regularly seek out and country parks, woods etc. which often provide the setting for searches.

If you have a location where you often get called out to, it makes sense that you have a search pre-plan of the area and that this is regularly practiced. And this means holding an exercise in the area – especially if you haven’t had an actual search incident there for over twelve months.

So look back over your past data – find those locations where multiple searches have been held for different mispers and make a list of them. This in itself should provide ample areas for search exercise planning.

There is one additional source of search exercise areas – areas where your county has outstanding high risk mispers. At some point search operations are suspended – the police and search management team have to weigh up the likelihood of successfully finding the misper in what could be very large search areas taking into consideration that search volunteers can’t take unlimited time off work etc. [It is a horrible call to have to make and probably the one hard thing SCs have to do alongside potentially dealing with the family.]

This means though that the misper could be lying dead, just outside the high probability search areas. During an actual search it is unrealistic to search these – but when looking for search areas for exercises, why not visit these areas?

It obviously takes some tact. A visit from the family’s FLO to explain that the Unit is exercising in the area, and are aware of the misper’s details, not to get their hopes up but that the police and search team are still thinking about the misper and so on. After all – if we can find their relative at least they could start the grieving process.

So next time you plan a search exercise – don’t just head to the nearest country park with easy parking, toilets and that you use every time. Take some time to study what your Unit actually does and where it actually searches and start exercising here.

And if you run out of these areas to search, at least you will have a much better feel for the types of search area you need to look for to plan your next search exercise!

Return to Search Exercise Planners Handbook Index

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Missing People – support for missing children, vulnerable adults and families left in limbo.

October 6th, 2009

In lowland search we only deal with a tiny fraction of all missing persons cases. It is sometimes easy to forget about all the other 200,000 thousand people who go missing every year whilst we concentrate on trying to save the lives of the hundred or so we deal with a year.

The charity Missing People, picks up where we leave off – if we don’t find a missing person Missing People, will take it on from there. They will offer support to the family, support the police in their further investigations and much, much more. I have always said that ALSAR Units should work more closely with this charity – carrying out search exercises in areas where potential long-term high-risk missing persons could be and so on.

However, we should also support the work that they do with the family. I once read a wonderful study on the effects of having a relative missing; it explained how as time passes, and special events happen – Christmas, Birthdays and so on, the family will struggle to mark and celebrate these events. How do you celebrate Christmas, do you buy the missing person a present? and so on. It is easy to forget about these things as we do what we do.

So support Missing People, any way you can – at the least a website link, but a small donation occassionally wouldn’t go amiss!

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